JustDave's Simple Sheets

Week 5 Start/Sit Sheet

One verdict. One reason. Get on with your day.

Covering the full Week 5 slate — 15 games, Chiefs and Panthers on bye

30 teams play. The week opens with Tampa Bay at Dallas on Thursday night, so Buccaneers and Cowboys lineups lock first. Sunday starts early with the Eagles and Jaguars in London — a morning kickoff in the U.S., so set those lineups before you sleep in — then 12 more games, with Bears-Packers now at 1:00, and the Bills at the Rams on Monday night. These calls went up after Wednesday's first practice report. Thursday's and Friday's reports can still move a Monitor, so check those before kickoff.

Start Monitor — status unresolved Sit

Players marked NO CALL are starting this week but had nothing worth arguing about, so they carry no verdict and are not graded on the Check Sheet.

Check These Before Kickoff

Genuine game-time decisions. Do not leave one of these in your lineup without confirming inactives 90 minutes before kick.

Week 5 · The Slate

How To Read This

The point of a Simple Sheet is that it ends an argument instead of starting one. Every player gets a verdict and a single sentence saying why. If the reason doesn't persuade you, override it — you know your roster better than any sheet does.

  • Start means he should finish inside the top 12 at QB, 30 at RB, 30 at WR or 12 at TE — every starting spot in a standard 12-team full-PPR league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex), with the flex split evenly between running backs and receivers. It is not a promise he will score.
  • Monitor means the call is not mine to make yet — a practice report or an inactive list decides it.
  • Sit means there is a better option on a normal bench. It is not a claim the player is bad.
  • Week 5 keeps the method and owns the Week 4 record. Week 4 went 10 of 36 on Must Starts, one better than the consensus top 36 at 9, and the Sits went 3 of 11. We also graded the hand-picked sheet we did not publish: it tied the model at 10, so this week's 36 Must Starts again come straight from the model, with anyone in real injury doubt moved to Monitor. Adding Week 4 to the backtest (now 18 weeks) did not change which ranking wins, and new tests of the weights, snap share and point spreads did not beat it. The Sits stay judgment, and six of the ten are in the middle of the plausible range rather than at its edge, where a Sit is easiest to hit and least useful. Every Week 4 call and its miss explained is on the Check Sheet.