JustDave's Simple Sheets

One verdict. One reason. Get on with your day.

In season · updated weekly

Start/Sit Sheet →

Every call you actually have to make this week, with one sentence of reasoning each — plus the game-time decisions worth checking before kickoff.

Open the Sheet

This Week At A Glance

Check Before Kickoff

Real game-time decisions. Check inactives before you start one.

See every call on the full sheet →

Receipts

The Check Sheet →

Every call from every week, graded against the real results in a standard 12-team full-PPR league. Misses listed by name.

Hot Takes

Week 5 · Against The Grain

Five positions the consensus does not hold — each one built on a number, not a feeling. Disagree with them and you will at least know exactly where the disagreement is.

  1. Brock Purdy Has Been Top 10 Every Week. Sit Him Anyway.

    The consensus has him QB9. San Francisco is expected to score 21.5 points in Seattle, and over 18 weeks, 68% of quarterbacks in that spot finished outside the top 12...

    Read the case
  2. The Consensus Has Javonte Williams RB11. The Numbers Say Top Five.

    75% of the snaps, 19 carries in each of the last two weeks, and Dallas is expected to score 28 points. Backs with that combination have finished top 12 nearly two times in three...

    Read the case
  3. Tyler Warren Plays 90% Of The Snaps. He Averages 5.7 Yards A Catch.

    23 catches for 130 yards, never better than TE10, and the consensus still has him TE5 on a team expected to score 21 points...

    Read the case
  4. Davante Adams Finished WR61. That Is Not A Reason To Bench Him.

    Nine targets in Puka Nacua's return, and the consensus dropped him to WR14. Receivers coming off a bad week have bounced back more often than those coming off a good one...

    Read the case
  5. We Graded Our Own Hand-Picked Sheet Against The Model. It Tied.

    Both went 10 of 36 in Week 4. Over 18 weeks, picking off last week's points was the worst method we tested, three hits a week behind the best...

    Read the case

Week 5 · The Slate

The "Simple Sheets" Philosophy

Most fantasy advice buries the answer. You came to find out whether to start a guy, and you get three hundred words of hedging, a projection to the second decimal place, and no verdict. A Simple Sheet does the opposite: it commits.

  • One verdict per player. Start, Monitor, or Sit. No tiers to interpret, no percentile bands to squint at.
  • One sentence of reasoning. Enough to tell whether the call rests on a matchup, an injury, or a change in role — so you can overrule it when you know something the sheet doesn't.
  • Honest about uncertainty. When a call genuinely depends on a Sunday inactive list, it says Monitor instead of pretending to know.
  • Nothing written from memory. Every injury status and matchup is checked against current, dated reporting each week. Rosters move; guessing is how sheets get people beat.